I thought I would bring in the new year with my prediction for the next moves in the AMPTP v. WGA chess match. I see the AMPTP waiting for the psychological impact of the returning late shows combined with an initial conversation or two with the DGA to fan the flames of the already substantial anxiety created by their silence before reluctantly suggesting a return to the table through back-channel reduction of their “ultimatum” down to the jurisdiction and sympathy strike issues. They hope the WGA will drop jurisdiction which will help them on the DGA front, but once back at the table they will not make a counter offer to the WGA proposal. They will find a long-winded way of representing their initial offer in different clothes. They will leak significant progress with the DGA while pressing the writers to cave on financial definition issues.
I can't wait to see how reality matches up with my predictions.
Tuesday, January 1, 2008
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